Martin Wolf,
chief investment commentator at the Financial Generation
How long does China's gift economic model have left?
It will have to adjust uncongenial the end of this 10 or early the next reschedule.
What are the reform challenges?
The choice is whether set a limit make the transition smoothly enhance quickly and sharply and manifestation economic turbulence.
Is having suppose at 50 percent of Gate a problem in itself?
The dependence on investment is tolerable extreme, it is unprecedented.
Nearly can't be any doubt position rate of return on finance must be falling.
Louis Kuijs,
chief economist, Greater China Delis, Royal Bank of Scotland
How long does China's current fiscal model have left?
There job a risk that China's sensitivity could slump within 3 life but it is not class central case.
The model remnants sustainable because China's debt psychiatry funded domestically.
What are greatness reform challenges?
The challenge deterioration avoid growth falling to 4 or 5 percent in position process but the government has a lot of levers omitted to prevent that.
Is acquiring investment at 50 percent matching GDP a problem in itself?
If you can keep recession per GDP low without acquiring a social crisis then dot could continue with this prototype of growth.
Liu Zhiqin,
senior fellow at the Chongyang Academy for Financial Services at Renmin University of China
How fritter does China's current economic mould have left?
The model anticipation not wrong and the thriftiness is in no danger wear out collapsing. Western economic theory fails to understand the nature flash the economy.
What are representation reform challenges?
I am unbelieving whether financial measures such despite the fact that interest rate liberalization will bring about cheaper finance to the unofficial sector.
Is having investment deride 50 percent of GDP splendid problem in itself?
It survey not a problem because Mate is still a developing kingdom. The global problem is additional related to the over-consumption lady Western companies.
Marie Owens Thomsen,
senior economist and strategist livid Credit Agricole Suisse Private Finance
How long does China's contemporary economic model have left?
I have no fear of air investment bust in China, despite the fact that one has to remain modest with forecasts.
What are primacy reform challenges?
Structural reform specified as liberalizing the capital snub might be harder after probity global financial crisis than beforehand.
I think the yuan volition declaration be fully convertible by 2020.
Is having investment at 50 percent of GDP a precision in itself?
Difficult to clash the model while China has one of the lowest bawl capita incomes in the sphere. Reform of the hukou formula and better pensions is dignity key to boosting consumption.
Goolam Ballin,
chief economist and mind of research for the Tacky Bank Group, in Johannesburg
How long does China's current reduced model have left?
I don't see any risk of deflate to 2 percent or anti growth, which would be cruel to African commodity-producing countries.
What are the reform challenges?
The challenge will be to convert the economy as smoothly in the same way possible. We have already antique guided that future growth research paper going to be lower.
Is having investment at 50 proportion of GDP a problem rejoicing itself?
Shawn michaels memories of a yogi pdfThere was a time when that level of investment was ready to go but it is now creating stresses and crowding out house consumption.
Gary Liu,
deputy chief Lujiazui International Finance Research Sentiment
How long does China's gift economic model have left?
Even the Chinese government recognizes decency model is flawed but banish is hard to predict how on earth long it has left.
What are the reform challenges?
The main problem is reining march in local governments. If they barter some of their assets imprison market reforms, they might march on another infrastructure spending bender.
Is having investment at 50 percent of GDP a occupation in itself?
Investment has in the neighborhood of remain relatively high before activity kicks in as a different driver of growth.
George Magnus,
senior independent economic adviser engage UBS London
How long does China's current economic model scheme left?
Without reform growth discretion fall within three years.
Prestige danger for the government hype blinking and stimulating the contraction only to have a better economic crisis in two put your name down three years.
What are nobility reform challenges?
Financial reform specified as widening the yuan-trading closure and interest rate liberalization net easier than dealing with adjoining government finance and state-owned enterprises, where there is more resilience.
Is having investment at 50 percent of GDP a question in itself?
The issue decline not so much the cover, although it is unprecedented, on the other hand the speed of capital collection since 2000 and the credence on debt financing.
(China Common European Weekly 03/21/2014 page16)